The Balkans Fall-out: the 2008 Global Watershed

So far the good news in recent postings on two initiatives: the EU Referendum by X09.EU (hopefully in time to avert the next accomplished fact), and the Koran Reformation Project by Muslims Against Sharia.

The bad news is sprung upon us this Christmas (sorry folks, realism is everything!) by our Balkan correspondent Ioannis Michaletos, intelligence blogger and Junior Analyst at Research Institute for European and American Studies (RIEAS). Michaletos has provided us earlier with unique background information on this summer's devastating wild fires in Greece. He is also a contributor to Balkanalysis, directed by Chris Deliso, author of the book "The Coming Balkan Caliphate", as discussed in our exclusive on 12th October, "The Clinton Legacy: the Balkan Caliphate".

Towards the year's end Michaletos published an analysis on the current situation in the Serbian province of Kosovo on his blog at Serbianna, "Great Powers Brinkmanship and Kosovo". Time is pressing, not just for the region itself, but for foreign policy on the part of the E.U. and the United States as well. As we shall see, the future of this tiny piece of rugged Balkan real estate might soon come to rock the status quo of geo politics. This is for a substantial part the result of non policy change of the Bush administration, from what's come to be known here as "Bill's whim" (read "The Clinton Legacy: the Balkan Caliphate".

One of the main characteristics of the ongoing Kosovo status culminations is that the Western-United States led policy has as a direct consequence the empowerment of Moscow’s reach in the heart of the Balkans. (...)

Washington with its persistence in securing secession for the Kosovo province from Serbia is laying the brick for the eventual alliance between Serbia and Russia and the spread of Moscow’s influence in Bosnia, Montenegro and FYROM (Skopje). Adding the delicate relations between the USA and Turkey and the indifference USA is showing to the interests of Greece and Cyprus (link added); then a future historian might call 2007 as the year when America begun loosing the grip of this sensitive region of Eurasia in order to fulfill a (Post-modernist motivated) caprice made in the late 90’s. (...)

For the time being USA is constrained by ideological handicaps and pursues Kosovo independence without taking into account the changing landscape all-around the region. Long-term political architecture can be constructed solely through the use of realism and it seems that Washington is lacking that skill. A future development relating to energy in the Balkans would be the elevation of the European role (France and Germany) that exercise a more realistic policy, despite the fact that they have lost considerable ground over the past few years. Sarkozy and Merkel are different leaders than Europe has witnessed (in the past) and they might as well surprise with their initiatives for the Balkans. (...)

The coming annum of 2008 will reveal finally the tunnel exit for the Kosovo martyrdom. The American presidential elections, the changing of guard in the Kremlin, the possible German elections, the Serbian elections, the Albanian domestic political uproar, FYROM's uneasy status, Bosnia's upcoming division along ethnic lines and d a possible war with Iran, will accelerate the structural changes that already have begun years ago and culminated to an extent this year.

Surprises and upturns are in for everyone it seems and a stressful year lies ahead for public officials that deal with the Balkans one way or another. The certain factor for anyone involved is that Kosovo is not merely a Serbian eparchy but a symbolic emblem between two ideological-ethical stratums that are on collision course."

- Caption: Strange Maps: "First the Cartoon, then the War: Europe in 1870" (Franco-Prussian War) -

Allow me to venture a speculation at this point. The relentless, irrational insistence with which America and the E.U. have been pressing for Kosovo's hazardous independence keeps calling for wider ranging explanations. Postmodern emotion-politics, appeasement of the Islamic world, or 'Bill's whim based on personal amities, however important and excruciating, do not begin to explain the near panic that is reigning in some quarters.

Turkey - in a difficult and protracted negotiating process to join the E.U. - to this date has been resisting pressure to recognize E.U. member Cyprus, or display any willingness to admit Cypriot vessels into Turkish ports. While legal niceties presently are not the E.U.'s biggest asset, it would be incorporating an unprecedented bone of contention if it admitted Turkey nevertheless. The move would jeopardise Europe's status as a self-appointed model for international peaceful coexistence through political and economic interdependence.

On the other hand, the ongoing jockeying for the formation of global power blocs forces Europe's hand: Turkey cannot be left behind! Make no mistake about it: the Cyrillics aren't models of political correctness in Postmodern European eyes, and as such are increasingly unpopular and seen as subordinate to the increasingly reveered Islamic states! They're rapidly going the way of equally dispensable Israel.

Turkey for its part, has always handled the matter through old-fashioned power politics, knowing full well that in the end a tiny island, divided, traditionally Christian, and loyal to its ethnicity, is no party for a strategically located global player like Turkey with a Muslim population of 71 million, of which a large portion with high victimhood-octane is located in European countries. Size and decibels do matter. Cyprus knows it too.

Cyprus Mail: "We’re right to be worried about Kosovo" - "Recognition of the North may soon no longer be the taboo for the international community that it has been until now. The government may at last be waking up to that reality. It is worried, and with reason."

Cyprus (Greece and Spain) might veto the E.U.'s recognition of Kosovo's unilateral declaration of independence. But if momentum builds up in the international community and Kosovo does gain independence, the consequences of such a move could be potentially devastating for Cyprus.

The divided island until now has relied heavily on international law in its political struggle. To see it replaced by a Pomo version of old-style power politics means losing the game. But after Kosovo has set the precedent, what's to keep the transnationals from recognizing the Northern break-away part of Cyprus as well? The forcible division of a nation currently constitutes a violation of the U.N. charter, creating a precedent in international diplomacy with grave implications for other places in the world with ambitions of secession as well.

It has long been my suspicion (read also "Enter the Cabal" for more details) that this is just the sort of watershed in international politics the transnationals have been waiting for to make their mark on history: an opportunity of breaking up the old order, deleting borders and atomizing sovereign nations, giving free reign to ad hoc regions in shifting transnational power blocs!

In the name of what is seen as 'our own greater good', throwing justice and absolutist values to the dogs and call it pragmatism: the global tribalism of transnational progressivism fits the new Communists to a T in their desperately striving for world pacification (world government). It is of course simply living out what Marx predicted.

These pretences are after all the only pieces of surrogate morality that cover up the all-out fascism. And thus, the seeds for the next great wars of independence have already been sown; because far from the desire of world peace lies at the heart of the ideology the perpetual strive of the dialectic. The encouragement of the ongoing diasporas will result in the balkanization of many a nation state, ensuring that these wars will be even more bloody than otherwise might have been the case.

Further reading on the Kosovo question in "The Balkan Caliphate: a Work in Progress" (file), and the latest on Ioannis Michaletos' blog at Serbianna:

- Handling of Kosovo ‘a failure’
- Inside Track: Calamity in Kosovo?
- Panel Discussion on Kosovo
- Serbia’s case for Kosovo

- Filed on Articles: "The Balkan Caliphate: a Work in Progress" , cat. Balkans, Eastern Europe, and in "Transnational Progressivism" , cat. Neo Totalitarianism -